Trump сloses gap with Harris in recent polls

Trump сloses gap with Harris in recent polls
Screenshot from the pbs.org video

Polls indicate that Kamala Harris is losing support as the U.S. presidential election approaches, Kazinform News Agency correspondent reports.

Kamala Harris had previously led the race, but recent data shows her lead over Donald Trump has narrowed. According to NBC polls, the two candidates are now tied at 48 percent. Harris's popularity, which had risen sharply since her September 10 debate with Trump, has begun to decline.

In September, her ratings shot upward to 48% positive, 45% negative. According to an October poll, 43% of voters view her positively, down 5% from a month ago, while 49% view her negatively.

ABC News/Ipsos poll also shows close results, with 51% of likely voters backing Harris and 48% backing Trump, indicating an extremely close race between the candidates.

Important issues for voters

The campaign's core issues of the economy, inflation, and immigration continue to play a key role in the election process. Trump has shown leadership on border security and economic policy, while Harris has support on abortion and health care. Abortion remains Harris' strongest issue, where she leads Trump by 19 points.

Gender gap and demographic differences

NBC polls have found a significant gender gap in support for the candidates. Women back Harris by 14 points, while Trump has significant support among men, leading her by 16%. Among other groups, Harris leads among black voters and young people, while Trump has strong support among white men and rural voters.

According to ABC News/Ipsos poll, about half (48%) of Americans think Harris is too liberal, 41% feel she is about right, and 7% say she is too conservative. Forty-three percent see Trump as too conservative, another 43% see him as about right, and 9% say he is too liberal.

The role of swing states

While national polls give a general sense of the candidates’ popularity, they are not an accurate indicator of the election outcome, as swing states play a decisive role. Trump currently holds a slight lead in states like Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina, while Harris leads in Nevada, Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin. Those last three are particularly important because Trump won them in 2016 despite their traditional Democratic support, but they swung to Biden in 2020, a key factor in his victory.

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